In the Round of 16 at the Jiangxi Open this Thursday, world No. 74 Anna Bondar will face off against No. 95 Anna Blinkova on the hard court.
Bondar enters the match as the betting favorite with -140 odds, giving her an implied win probability of approximately 58.3%, while Blinkova is positioned as the +110 underdog. Bookmakers also give Bondar a slight edge to win the overall tournament, listing her at +900 odds compared to Blinkova’s +1100.
This year, Bondar has compiled a 13-14 record across 15 hard-court tournaments. Her performance on the surface includes winning 66.0% of her service games and 33.3% of her return games. She has converted 43.7% of her break point opportunities (97 of 222). In her last event, the Galaxy Holding Group Guangzhou Open, Bondar was eliminated in the Round of 16 by Claire Liu, 3-6, 4-6.
Blinkova comes into the contest with a 12-16 record from 16 hard-court tournaments this year. While her service game win rate of 55.6% is lower than Bondar’s, she has been more successful on return, winning 37.0% of those games. Blinkova has also been more clinical on break points, converting an impressive 52.3% of her chances (102 of 195). Her most recent appearance was at the Toray Pan Pacific Open, where she fell in the first qualifying round to Katie Boulter, 1-6, 6-0, 2-6.
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