Washington – 2022 will witness many hot events that will make it an exceptional year in the United States in terms of the deepening of the societal division between conservatives and liberals, and the continuation of the sharp political polarization between the Republican and Democratic parties, with the widening gap between them.
President Joe Biden begins the new year in light of a significant decline in his popularity, as a result of which the percentage of satisfaction with his policies has fallen below 45%, and the majority of Americans now do not agree with the president’s performance of his office duties, but rather consider him a failure in the task of uniting them and in the face of the economic crisis, according to the results of the The latest NBC News poll.
At the same time, Americans are anticipating during 2022 three pivotal events that will contribute to shaping the directions of American policy in the coming years.
First: Trump supporters’ trials
Days before the end of 2021, former President Donald Trump asked the Supreme Court to intervene to prevent the request of the House of Representatives Committee of Inquiry into the riots – which occurred at the Capitol on the sixth of last January – to see the records of the White House.
Trump relies on the argument that the records are protected under the Executive Privilege Act, a legal principle that allows some White House communications to be kept secret.
While the commission’s lawyers say that “the delay will seriously damage the ongoing investigations,” considering that the documents are now needed “to help shape the direction of the investigation.”
In his request, Trump repeated allegations that Biden was elected president only because of widespread fraud, and Trump said, “People who are being persecuted by the Commission to investigate the events of last January 6 must simply tell the truth and are angry at the fraudulent presidential election of 2020”. “.
Trump’s request represented the latest development in the investigations that are predominantly political in view of the Republican stance against the commission’s work.
So far, the committee has charged several top Trump aides with “contempt of Congress” for their refusal to participate in the investigations and their refusal to submit documents to the investigation committee.
The Congressional Committee of Inquiry had requested the testimony of 4 of Trump’s top advisers: his strategic advisor Steve Bannon, White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, Trump’s adviser Stephen Miller, and White House spokeswoman Kayleigh McEnany, and they all refused to cooperate with the investigation committee’s requests.
Usually, the procedures and deliberations of trials of a political nature take a long time, but some courts are expected to issue judgments on several violations in the coming months, which will deepen the sharp polarization that the United States suffers from.
For their part, the Republicans are counting on the scenario of their control of the majority of the House of Representatives in the congressional elections next November, which is expected by most observers, which will give them the ability to stop investigations and dissolve the investigation committee.
It is noteworthy that the House of Representatives indicted Trump last January on charges of supporting the rebellion and inciting the storming of Congress, but the trial of the president before the Senate led to his acquittal.
Second: The Supreme Court resolves the fate of mandatory vaccinations, the right to abortion, and reform of the voting system
The Supreme Court’s balance between 6 conservative and 3 liberal justices leaves many Democrats anxious, and Republicans excited, for what the Court will release in 2022 on several issues critical to the grassroots of both parties.
And in early 2022, the Supreme Court will rule on President Biden’s decision to obligate workers in the federal government, large companies, and the health care sector to receive the vaccine, or else they face dismissal or freezing their contracts without receiving salaries.
Then the Supreme Court is expected to decide on the fate of the right to abortion, which would establish a controversial political battle following any ruling, regardless of the nature of the ruling.
For decades, the conservative right in the United States has been fighting to overturn the landmark 1973 Supreme Court ruling in Roe v. Wade, which affirmed a woman’s right to abortion.
The third of the most crucial issues that the Supreme Court intends to deal with this year is related to the reforms of voting and voting systems. After former President Donald Trump questioned the integrity of the 2020 elections, Republicans and Democrats agreed on the need to reform the voting system, method and procedures, but each party views the crisis from a perspective opposite to what the other party sees.
Each party demands the adoption of an electoral reform package that claims to target the integrity and credibility of the electoral process, but its essence aims to support the chances of each party’s candidates in future elections.
Democrats want voter registration to be expanded and facilitated and the voting process itself easier, and therefore Congress must intervene to enact new federal legislation supporting this, while Republicans believe that the power to administer elections rests with the states (they have a majority in most state legislatures), and should not be imposed Congress has additional laws on it, and they see this as an intrusion of federal power.
Third: the midterm elections for Congress
On November 8, 2022, congressional renewal elections will be held for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate.
Blocking President Biden’s ambitious infrastructure reform agenda, and then blocking multi-trillion-dollar “rebuild for better” legislation, have driven the president’s popularity down. It also highlighted the extent of the infighting between the Democratic Party’s currents, especially between the progressive members and the traditional majority.
The victory of Republican candidate Glenn Yangkin for governor of Virginia at the expense of Democrat Terry McAuliffe last month, a major blow to Democrats. Meanwhile, the American economy is suffering from a state of great inflation, and the prices of basic foodstuffs are recording a significant increase for several reasons, including the consequences of the spread of the Corona virus, the global supply crisis and the increase in fuel prices, in addition to Biden’s policy of providing material support to American families did not contribute to alleviating the suffering of the American families. the poor.
Biden was also unable to confront the crisis of the irregular immigration issue that he promised to work on solving during his election campaign.
It is enough for the Republicans to add only 5 seats so that the majority will move to them in the House of Representatives, which may paralyze President Biden’s agenda during the last two years of his term, which in turn contributes to facilitating the task of Trump, who does not hide his willingness to fight the upcoming presidential election battle for Return to the White House in 2024.