Filip Misolic vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Filip Misolic comes into his Chengdu debut having lost three of his last five matches, most recently suffering a straight-sets, first-round defeat to Aleksandar Kovacevic in Winston-Salem. His strongest hard-court result this season was reaching a Challenger tournament final in Tenerife. In contrast, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five encounters and last competed at the US Open, where he fell to Lorenzo Musetti in a tight four-set match. Although Misolic leads their head-to-head record 1-0, that win came on clay. On a hard court, Mpetshi Perricard is favored to dominate and secure a comfortable victory.
Value bet: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard -2.5 games handicap @1.83
Terence Atmane vs. Dino Prizmic
In their first-ever meeting, Terence Atmane arrives in superb form, winning four of his last five matches. His recent impressive run to the semifinals in Cincinnati, where he was ultimately stopped by Jannik Sinner, has propelled him into the world’s top 70. His opponent, Dino Prizmic, has won three of his last five matches but is making a difficult transition. The Croat competed on clay just last week, losing to Corentin Moutet in three sets. The rapid switch to the hard courts in China gives the confident and in-form Atmane a significant advantage.
Value bet: Terence Atmane to win @2.20
Alexander Shevchenko vs. Gael Monfils
Alexander Shevchenko enters his first Chengdu campaign with three wins in his last five matches, including a straight-sets victory for Kazakhstan over Soonwoo Kwon in the Davis Cup. He faces veteran Gael Monfils, who is currently on a four-match losing streak, with his last win dating back to Wimbledon over two months ago. Monfils’ most recent outing was a tight five-set loss to Roman Safiullin in the first round of the US Open. Despite his poor recent form, Monfils is a proven performer on hard courts, while Shevchenko is primarily a clay-court specialist who has yet to achieve major success on this surface. If Monfils serves well, he is strongly favored to end his losing run.
Value bet: Gael Monfils -2.5 games handicap @1.73
