Al Jazeera Net correspondents
Khartoum– Fajr Khattab, Forces Commander Fast support Muhammad Hamdan Dagalo “Hemedti” regarding the political and military situation caused controversy in the Sudanese scene and Egyptian anger at being accused of bombing his forces and supporting the Sudanese army with fighter jets, while analysts believe that the speech reflected his frustration with the military decline and external positions opposing it.
Hemedti accused Egypt of participating in air strikes on his forces in the Jabal Muya area in Sinnar state in the southeast of the country. He considered that the framework agreement signed by the military component in the transitional phase with Alliance of the Forces of Freedom and Change It is the reason for the outbreak of war in the country.
For its part, Egypt denied Hemedti’s accusations of participating in air strikes on his forces in the Jabal Muya area in Sennar state. The Egyptian Foreign Ministry said in a statement, “The Egyptian army does not participate in the ongoing battles.”SudanShe called on the international community to find evidence that proves the truth of what Hemedti mentioned.
Declaration of defeat
Analyst and editor-in-chief of Al-Tayyar newspaper, Othman Mirghani, believes that Hemedti's speech was prepared in a hurry, and it appears that it was a reaction to a situation, expecting it to be related to his political future.
In an interview with Al Jazeera Net, the analyst considered the speech a declaration of failure for the political project due to which the war broke out, and held the Forces of Freedom and Change responsible, which means disengaging politically from the “Taqaddum” coalition.
According to Mirghani, the speech is also practically a declaration of military defeat in the field despite the attack by one million fighters that he promised. It also reveals the decline of manpower, armed supplies, and perhaps financial supplies as well, according to the speaker.
He explains that Hemedti's attack on some countries resulted from the shock of the crisis he is facing, as he is suffering from confusion and collapse, and that the framework agreement was a pretext for a failed coup that led to igniting the war, and has become a “stain” from which everyone is fleeing.
As for the researcher and political analyst, Khaled Saad, he expected that the Rapid Support Commander received influential messages from abroad and from his supporters that “the game is over” and that the United States and Egypt have an important role in this aspect.
According to what the researcher told Al Jazeera Net, negotiations are coming to end the war according to a road map that ends with the army’s leadership strengthening the political process in the country for years that increase and decrease according to developments in the political environment and the leadership’s ability to manage the phase that follows the ceasefire, and re-engineer the security and political scene, and these are two elements that intersect and do not intersect. One is less important than the other.
In his opinion, this issue will not take place without resistance, and the American-backed step requires the army to achieve significant and rapid victories in the military field, to restore its symbolism, which has been subjected to tremors that affect its national and professional legitimacy, and thus expand its social and political incubator for the stage that follows the agreement.
Plan B
According to the same researcher, the army needs a political support from the forces that contributed to the overthrow of the previous regime or were affiliated with it, and parallel efforts are being made to unify these forces in this regard through Cairo andAddis AbabaAway from any previous understanding with rapid support such as the “Addis Ababa Declaration” website between “Taqaddam” coalition coordination And quick support.
However, the writer and political analyst Muhammad Latif believes that the Rapid Support Commander’s speech is the most dangerous since the beginning of the war. He considered it a “state of emergency” and a “declaration of war,” as he did not mention negotiations, peace, or ending the war. He also directed direct and indirect criticism of the international community instead of its role in the war. peace.
The writer interpreted in the Plan “B” publication that Hemedti promised to mean civil war after he accused the army of targeting social incubators for rapid support in… Darfur Through aerial bombardment, while it does not bomb the army forces in the areas where they are located in the areas of Hajar al-Asal and villages in the Nile River State in the north of the country, which it considers to be army nurseries.
On the other hand, journalist Hafez Kabir, commenting on Hemedti’s speech, reported that the effect of these words will translate from tomorrow morning into the rest of the speech as an attempt to rationalize the coming battle. He said on his Facebook page, “The upcoming battles are completely different, and in light of the directives that were issued directly, the still sands will move towards new destinations.”
Political responses
Officials in the Darfur region were quick to comment on the speech of the Rapid Support Commander, as the governor of the region, Minni Arko Minawi, said that Hemedti “admitted that the framework agreement was behind the outbreak of war… and what he said we warned him and the Forces of Freedom and Change about and advised him more than two years ago, but they did not take our advice into consideration.” “.
Minawi added in a tweet on the “X” platform, “Now the details of the conspiracy against Sudan have begun to appear,” and he continued, “The only solution is to admit mistakes for the sake of the people of Sudan.”
As the Minister of Finance and Leader wrote,Justice and Equality MovementJibril Ibrahim commented by saying, “The militia leader, Dagalo, may not know that with his sad speech he has practically mourned – whether he knows it or not – his adventure to rule Sudan (…) and announced the defeat of his villains, and disavowed their heinous crimes that caused him to lose everything, but after he was caught by From head to toe.”
At the level of political forces, Khaled Omar Youssef, a member of the leadership office of the Coordination of Civilian Democratic Forces, described the Rapid Support Commander’s speech as a dangerous escalation in his language against a number of external forces in a manner that complicates the crisis and does not produce solutions to it.