Chicago Bears running back D’Andre Swift is set to play against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday after being removed from the team’s final injury report. Despite being limited in practice this week with a hip injury, Swift has been cleared for the Week 12 matchup.
Swift has been a significant contributor to the 7-3 Bears’ offense this season, missing only one game. The veteran has amassed 634 rushing yards on 134 carries, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt, and has added 210 receiving yards and a touchdown on 23 receptions.
He is expected to share backfield duties with rookie Kyle Monangai. In last week’s contest, Swift handled 57.3% of the offensive snaps and rushed 21 times for 90 yards, while Monangai scored a rushing touchdown. The duo faces a Pittsburgh defense that has allowed 4.2 yards per carry this season, presenting a potentially favorable matchup.
However, analysis of betting markets suggests a potential overestimation of Swift’s workload. A popular prop bet focuses on whether he will go over or under 14.5 rush attempts.
The argument for the under is compelling. Swift has surpassed 14 carries in only three games this season. His 21-carry performance in Week 11 appears to be an outlier, largely influenced by a game script where the Bears maintained a lead. Since Week 1, when he played over 80% of snaps, his playing time has not exceeded 66.2% in any game, reflecting a more balanced backfield split with Monangai. Given the shared workload and an expectedly competitive game against Pittsburgh, a repeat of last week’s high volume is considered unlikely.
Source link
