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Experts and political analysts say that the American talk about the “positive atmosphere” for prisoner exchange negotiations between the Palestinian resistance and…Israel It does not mean that an agreement is close because US Don't put real pressure on the Israeli Prime Minister. Benjamin Netanyahu Who treats war as the only means to remain in power while failing to achieve a clear victory.
The American President was Joe Biden He spoke on Friday of his optimism about the negotiations that took place on Thursday in Doha He said that reaching a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement might be possible by next week. This is talk that the leader described in Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) Sami Abu Zuhri said it was an “illusion.”
Abu Zuhri said – in statements to the French News Agency – that the United States of America did not present a proposal, but rather dictates that it is trying to impose on the Palestinian side.
Commenting on these developments, former US diplomat William Lawrence said that there was actual progress in the recent negotiations, but it was not enough to reach an agreement, stressing that all parties must demand concessions.
Netanyahu is the problem
Lawrence said during his participation in the program “Gaza… What's Next?” that neither Israel nor Hamas wants a permanent cessation of fighting, but rather a temporary truce, and that “the Biden administration must exert more pressure on Netanyahu, who wants an agreement on his terms.”
The spokesman considered that Hamas's demand to discuss the details of implementing what was agreed upon last July was a good step towards reaching an agreement, stressing that Netanyahu is the obstacle every time.
On the other hand, Israeli affairs expert Ihab Jabareen does not express great optimism about the US president’s talk about the positive atmosphere of the negotiations and the proximity of reaching an agreement, noting that Biden spoke in the same way on previous occasions and after that no agreement was reached.
Jabareen criticized the behavior of the US administration, which he said would send its Secretary of State. Anthony Blinken To Israel to try to convince Netanyahu to reach an agreement, which confirms that the problem is always with Israel and not with the Palestinian side as you say Washington.
He pointed out that Netanyahu is no longer interested in the prisoners as much as he is interested in ensuring the continuation of the war at the time he deems appropriate, which is something the United States is trying to provide for him, noting that he has waived the condition of submitting a list of the names of the living prisoners and has not given up remaining in the two axes. Netzarim andPhiladelphiawhich Washington guaranteed him.
Washington tries to prevent Iranian response
Despite this agreement on the insufficiency of American pressure on Israel, Ziad Majed, a professor of political science at the American University of Paris, believes that the United States is trying to reach an agreement to prevent Iran andLebanese Hezbollah A broad response to Israel could embroil Washington in a larger war it does not want.
Majed said that Netanyahu is exploiting American weakness to keep the situation as it is until the American elections, the results of which he believes will serve him greatly, and also to blackmail Washington to obtain more military support in the face of Iran and Hezbollah.
It is believed that Blinken and other European foreign ministers will visit Israel in the coming days, perhaps to reassure Netanyahu that they will confront any potential attack on Israel, but at the same time it is unlikely that Netanyahu will accept a ceasefire. Gaza As much as he seeks to achieve greater military gains.
At the same time, the political science professor believes that Iran and Hezbollah, who do not want a large-scale war, will be forced to respond if a ceasefire agreement is not reached in Gaza, especially since they “gave the mediators enough time to reach this agreement.”
Although Lawrence agrees that the United States is not doing much to pressure Netanyahu, he believes that Blinken will try to offer Netanyahu more gains during his upcoming visit to Israel to convince him to accept the agreement, noting that Washington has a lot to offer in exchange for Israeli concessions in the war.
But Jabareen does not agree with this view, and believes that the United States has never been weaker in the face of Israel than it is today, pointing out that Netanyahu is returning pressure to Washington by reflecting it on the electoral race there.
He also says that Netanyahu is exploiting the American difference in position on Israel because he is well aware that the positions of the Director of the (American) Intelligence Agency, William Burns, differ greatly from Blinken, stressing that the issue of prisoners has declined greatly within Israel, which has become dealing with the only alternative to the absence of the victory it was looking for, which is to continue the war.
