Political and military experts confirm that the Prime Minister of the Israeli occupation government Benjamin Netanyahu He will never be able to release prisoners held by factions Palestinian resistance Without making concessions, he continued his military operations to achieve more pressure.
And it was broadcast Islamic resistance movement (Hamas) – today, Monday – released a video of three Israeli female detainees in which they sent a message to Netanyahu, accusing him of political and military failure, and holding him responsible for their captivity and their continued detention until now.
Netanyahu described this message as a harsh psychological war on the part of Hamas, but at the same time he stressed the continuation of ground operations. Because it supports the recovery of all prisoners, he said.
But the military expert, Major General Fayez Al-Duwairi, said that the ground operation will never liberate the prisoners, in light of what the resistance is showing on the ground, as evidenced by the fact that the form and objectives of the operation itself have declined significantly.
In the daily analytical pause, “Gaza…what’s next?”, the military expert said that Israel had retreated from its first goals, which were talking about a complete invasion of the Gaza Strip. Gaza Eliminating resistance and displacing the population Sinai peninsulaFor now, it has been content with limited incursions and talk of liberating prisoners.
Fayez attributed this retreat on the part of Israel to the strong confrontation on the part of the resistance, which prevented the occupation forces from penetrating into the heart of the Gaza Strip and forcing them to return to the borders, as well as based on the advice of US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and General James Glenn, “which contributed to changing the form of the extensive ground operation.” And just a limited incursion.”
Despite increasing internal and external pressure regarding the issue of prisoner recovery, Fayez Al-Duwairi believes that Netanyahu will continue his military operations, in order to restore Israel’s dignity and prestige that was shed during the operation. Al-Aqsa flood Then in the process of crossing Beit Hanoun (Erez) yesterday, Sunday, and to achieve personal success – as well – in light of his increasingly full responsibility.
Accordingly, the Israeli army – in the opinion of the military expert – wants to restore the prestige that it imposed on Arab countries for seven decades, then collapsed within hours at the hands of the resistance, but at the same time it is not able to liberate the prisoners through military action.
Even Netanyahu’s talk about forcibly liberating a hostage from Gaza – from the point of view of the military expert – confirms the failure of his plan. Because it means liberating one prisoner and killing 50 others, according to what Hamas announced.
Hence, Fayez believes that Netanyahu will try to separate the northern part of the Gaza Strip from the rest of the Strip by military means, to put more pressure on Hamas, but in the end he will not be able to liberate the prisoners by force, but rather by negotiation.
Partial exchange at different prices
Regarding the expected prisoner exchange mechanism, Fayez said that it will be a partial process, with dual nationality civilians being released in return, and single-nationality individuals being released in return, and most likely it will be related to electricity, fuel, and aid.
As for military prisoners, they will not be liberated – according to the expert – except through a deal that includes all Palestinian prisoners In the occupation prisons, and in all cases, Israel will continue its operations, in Fayez’s opinion.
In turn, the expert on Israeli affairs, Muhannad Mustafa, said that the message from the Israeli detainees achieved two things. The first is that it will increase internal pressure on Netanyahu – who did not give the prisoner file any attention, and now he has put it at the top of his priorities – and the second is to confirm the Prime Minister’s responsibility for what A failure occurred.
Therefore – Muhannad adds – the detainees’ message will fuel internal and external discussions regarding the prisoners, which means that Netanyahu will try to do anything to achieve his own interests.
Although there is a great contradiction within Israel regarding the desire to recover all the prisoners, and at the same time carry out a ground operation in Gaza, the fact that the prisoner file is currently at the forefront of the scene, and its transformation into a central goal, will increase the political and military pressure on Netanyahu, who faced a direct, frank accusation of responsibility for the failure.
Regarding the possibility of the army moving forward with its ground operations in order to liberate the prisoners, Muhannad said that everyone inside Israel currently knows that they will not return except with a deal, especially the families who will likely increase their pressure on the government after the last message.
Muhannad inferred his speech by saying that the talk of the prisoners’ families about accepting an all-for-all deal is the first of its kind in Israel, and this reflects the extent of fear and lack of confidence in recovering the prisoners by any means other than exchange.
The expert on Israeli affairs believes that any talk about increasing the siege and cutting off everything until the prisoners are recovered seems completely unrealistic.
The professor of political science and international relations, Khalil Al-Anani, said the same thing, confirming that the prisoner file moved from the bottom of the list of priorities to the first within one week. Due to internal and external pressures.
But Netanyahu – in Khalil’s opinion – still sees the possibility of liberating these people without making any political concessions, that is, by invading a qualitative operation with the help of the American Delta Forces, or through more military pressure on Hamas.
Khalil concluded that Netanyahu is currently required to make concessions to Hamas regarding the entry of aid, the release of Palestinian prisoners, and the easing of operations, but he is trying to find a mechanism to take everything without offering anything.
