For the first semester of 2022, the number of workers requesting temporary disability is forecast to be 1.5 million, which represents an institutional expense of 1,215 million pesos, according to IMSS estimates.
Mauricio Hernández, Director of Economic and Social Benefits of the Mexican Institute of Social Security (IMSS), explained in social networks that an increase of 749,000 of disabilities more than in 2021, and that represented an expense for the institution of 1,270 million pesos.
Hernández explained that “the monitoring of the pandemic is also done through the temporary incapacity for work (ITT), which offer an overview of the situation by state, sex, type of employment and company ”.
According to our estimates, the prediction of the number of ITTs in the first half of 2022 will be 1.5 million [rango de 500 mil a 3millones], with an Institutional expense of 1,215 million pesos. In the 1st semester of 2021 they were 741 thousand, with an outlay of 1,270 million pesos. 6/6 pic.twitter.com/lBaJHTmHOa
– Mauricio Hernández (@MHernan_)
January 12, 2022
The director of Economic and Social Benefits of the IMSS explained that the increase in requests for temporary disabilities in the last week, until January 7, 2022, stand out with an increase of more than 300% the states of Colima, Durango, Nayarit, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa and Zacatecas .
This behavior coincides with the arrival of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 and the increase in infections nationwide of this disease, which this Wednesday, January 14, registered a record number of 44,187 new cases.
In the distribution of ITT cases by Entity and sex during 2020 and 2021 (cut off 01/07/2022), we can observe the increase in the last week. The following stand out with an elevation greater than 300%: Colima, Durango, Nayarit, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa and Zacatecas. 4/6 pic.twitter.com/UQ3MEqyPv7
– Mauricio Hernández (@MHernan_)
January 12, 2022
While the entities with the most temporary disabilities during the Covid-19 pandemic are:
- Mexico state
- Mexico City
- Jalisco
- New Lion
The number of disabilities is correlated with the number of insured workers in the entity, explained the IMSS director.
Meanwhile, Mauricio Hernández highlighted that the second week of 2022 began with 92,000 temporary disabilities for work registered in the IMSS, which meant an increase of 460% in the last two weeks and the highest peak in the epidemic so far. of the coronavirus in Mexico.
During the last 2 years, 3 maximum peaks of ITTs are observed:
1: Week 30 of 2020 (48 thousand, Ancestral)
2: Week 22 of 2021 (71k, Gamma, Beta)
3: Week 32 of 2021 (81mil, Delta)
Week 2 of 2022 begins (92 thousand) with an increase of 460% in the last 2 weeks. 2/6 pic.twitter.com/MlEVCEdpPF
– Mauricio Hernández (@MHernan_)
January 12, 2022
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