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Tehran- With the extension of the temporary humanitarian truce between Israel and the Palestinian resistance in Gaza strip For two more days, the Iranians agree that its continuation is in the interest of the Palestinian side, and will consolidate the defeat of the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuHe had previously set the bar high for the goals of his aggression, but did not achieve any of them.
In addition to the failure of the Israeli intelligence and security services to predict an operation Al-Aqsa flood On the seventh of last October, the developments of the truce came to complement the security surprises of the Islamic Resistance Movement (agitation), which insisted on handing over the detainees to the Red Cross in the northern Gaza Strip, where Israeli forces were located prior to the truce there.
Iranian circles have long been divided over the country’s foreign policy over the past decades, but these days they are almost unanimous in the correctness of what they bet on. Islamic Republic In supporting the resistance, as it is Tehran’s front line in the face of the Israeli occupation.
Extension of the truce
Political science professor Sadiq Ziba Kalam considered Tel Aviv’s retreat from its conditions for discussing a truce a victory for the Palestinian resistance, “which broke the thorn of Israeli arrogance.”
In an article titled “The Armistice Agreement, Which Party Won the Battle of Gaza?” Published in the newspaper “Arman Milli”, Ziba Kalam said, “The truce is an important step to resolve the conflict between the Palestinians and Israel,” explaining that “the recent battle of Gaza proved that extremism and intransigence will not bring peace.”
While the Iranian academic expresses his hope that the temporary truce will lead to “acceptance of the facts of the Palestinian file and reaching a permanent solution to the conflict in the occupied territories,” Iranian observers wonder about the features of the post-Al-Aqsa flood battle phase, and its repercussions on both sides of the conflict, especially the Palestinian issue.
Military affairs researcher Muhammad Mahdi Melki saw the Israeli side’s agreement to extend the truce as an indication of its true desire to escape the Gaza quagmire, explaining that “the Western Hebrew axis seeks to give a humanitarian character to the temporary truce, to cover up the defeat that Tel Aviv suffered.”
Speaking to Al Jazeera Net, Malki considered that “the ongoing truce will not last long,” and expected that the occupation will resume its bombing of the Gaza Strip during the coming period, “in an effort to record a military achievement on the ground, after it failed to achieve any political goal through the truce negotiations.”
The Iranian researcher expected that the Israeli right-wing government would delay international efforts aimed at a complete cessation of military operations in Gaza, “because that would be tantamount to a resounding defeat for a heavily armed entity that enjoys all kinds of international support, in the face of a resistance movement, and not a classic army,” as he put it.
labor pains
The former Iranian ambassador to Norway, Sri Lanka and Hungary, Abdul Reza Farjirad, believes that extending the truce “is an indication of the possibility of turning it into a permanent ceasefire,” explaining that “the longer the humanitarian truce lasts, the pressure from international circles and global public opinion on the party will multiply.” who penetrates it, and holds him responsible for resuming the war.”
Speaking to Al Jazeera Net, the former Iranian diplomat considered that “the Al-Aqsa flood brought the date of the independence of the Palestinian people closer,” likening the violence against the people of Gaza to “the labor pains of the birth of the Palestinian state.”
Farji Rad believes that “if the regional and international parties present an initiative to end the conflict in the occupied Palestinian territories, the ongoing truce is likely to turn into a permanent ceasefire and put an end to the decades-long conflict in the Middle East.”
Regarding the South Lebanon front, Ambassador Ferji Rad expected the undeclared truce to continue between… Hizb allah And the Israeli occupation forces if the fighting in Gaza stops, adding that “after exhausting the energies of the Israeli entity in the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood, and its repercussions on the Israeli interior, the latter will withdraw from its threat to launch an attack on Hezbollah, and the option of war on its northern front will be removed from its calculations, because the experience The party and its military capabilities exceed those of Hamas.”
The Iranian diplomat believes that the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood “produced an Islamic troika with the participation of Iran, Qatar, and Egypt, and played a constructive role in the course of the battle,” noting that “Tehran’s geopolitical position will be strengthened after the Gaza battle, and the Western side will take a thousand steps to deal with files related to the Islamic Republic.” .
He praised the coordination between the resistance axis rings and the division of roles between them during the Al-Aqsa Flood Battle, and believed that “the final battle will put an end to the accusation of Tehran of interference in Arab affairs, and the challenges that were facing the Islamic Republic in the file of popular protests, and the threat resulting from the tension between Azerbaijan and Armenia, and Western pressures.” her continued right.”
After the armistice
“The post-Al-Aqsa Flood phase will not be the same as before it,” according to Farji Rad, who believes that the overthrow of Netanyahu’s government will be the first repercussions of the Al-Aqsa Flood battle, adding that “the recent war revealed the weakness of the occupation at various levels, especially militarily and security-wise, and that the entity’s thorn is “It will never be the same again.”
Farji Rad enumerated the features of the next stage as follows:
- The return of the Palestinian issue to the world’s priorities.
- Greater American and Islamic interest in the Palestinian issue and developments in the Middle East.
- The American role has declined in the face of China’s rising power.
- The pace of normalization of relations between Arab countries and Israel has faltered.
- Strengthening the position of Iran and Qatar at the regional and international levels.
As for the political researcher Qasim Zakri, he adds to these topics “the possibility of a widening gap between Israel’s Western protectors and other countries,” explaining that “after the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood, many independent countries will turn their backs on the Western narrative, because of the West’s dual policy regarding wars and human rights.”
In an article entitled “The Possible Repercussions of the Al-Aqsa Flood Operation,” Zakiri wrote in the Persian-language Etemad newspaper that “Hamas and other Islamic resistance movements in Yemen and Iraq will strengthen their military capabilities,” and he expected “a rise in tension in West Bank Repeating battles similar to the Al-Aqsa flood may require American intervention and the opening of new fronts against Israel.”
He believed that Israel and its Western protectors would work to “destabilize the security of the encirclement countries, especially Syria, after the Battle of Al-Aqsa Flood, in preparation for putting pressure on the Lebanese Hezbollah,” stressing that he did not rule out the emergence of extremist movements such as Al-Qaeda, to take revenge on Israel and the United States, as he put it. .
The researcher concluded, “The absolute American support for the Zionist entity during the Al-Aqsa Flood battle may lead to a setback for the Democrats in the 2024 presidential elections, in addition to Ukraine’s gradual withdrawal from the list of priorities of the American administration.”
