Nobody is in Putin’s head, but many – starting with US President Joe Biden – are trying to get there to understand his ambition, guess his strategy and anticipate his next moves.
In its editorial for today, the French newspaper Le Figaro tried to ask questions that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s behavior – especially in the Ukrainian crisis – makes the answer to them urgent, despite its difficulty.
Editorial writer Philip Glee began his article by warning that no one is in Putin’s head, but many people – starting with US President Joe Biden – are trying to get there to understand his ambition, guess his strategy and anticipate his next moves.
Is he deceiving the head of the Kremlin into noticing the reaction, hesitation and divisions of Westerners, or is he about to challenge them directly by attacking Ukraine? Does he want to gain a few acres of Russian-speaking land or does he want to enslave the entire country by placing his client regime there? What analysis did he make of the costs and benefits of an armed operation aimed at destroying the European strategic “balance” that arose with the fall of the Soviet Union?
The writer believes that Putin’s ambition can be deduced from the historical mission set by the “tsar” for himself since he took power nearly 23 years ago; Namely: correcting the error caused by the “great geopolitical catastrophe of the twentieth century”, i.e. restoring Russia’s role as a superpower and having – like the United States and China – a “room for distinct interests”.
That area in which Glee says that countries have only limited sovereignty, and in this way, Putin put an end to Western hegemony on the world thanks to Beijing’s support.
In his struggle with the West, Putin changed the name of the Second World War to the “Great Patriotic War” (Anatolia)
In light of this – as the writer says – we must read the “extraordinary” demands in the draft security treaties submitted by the Kremlin to Washington, which aims to return the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) to its strategic positions 25 years ago.
This prompted the writer to ask: did the Westerners go too far, or were they, on the contrary, too lenient with the Russian master of mysteries?
The writer believes that discussing such an issue seems absurd, as Putin’s dream is to build a new Warsaw Pact, and the puzzle in that is the means that he is willing to employ to achieve that goal.
Here, Glee says that Putin – who has lived with 5 American presidents and now sees the United States divided within it and withdrawn from the world – may see that the time has come to act.
But the writer concludes in his analysis that “Putin’s brutality” crushes his country first, as it pushes his neighbors into the arms of Europe, thus widening the gap between the interests of his regime and the interests of Russia, which the writer described as the distinguishing feature of dictatorship, to conclude with a question: “Since when did dictatorships take Right choices?”