The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a storm system off the southeastern U.S. coast for potential tropical development.
A trough of low pressure is forecast to move west-southwestward across Florida and into the north-central Gulf of Mexico. According to the NHC, environmental conditions in the Gulf could allow for slow development if the system remains over open water. However, its development window is narrow, as the disturbance is expected to move inland by the weekend, which would end its chances of forming into a tropical system.
Forecasters note the current system is less organized than a similar disturbance, Invest 93L, that was tracked earlier this month, contributing to its low development odds.
Regardless of development, the system is expected to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to the region. The northern Gulf Coast could see rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches, with some localized areas receiving higher amounts. While widespread flash flooding is not anticipated, isolated flooding is possible where heavy precipitation persists. These impacts are already being felt along the Southeast coast, where a combination of high tides and heavy rainfall has flooded streets in Charleston, South Carolina.
The persistent southerly flow associated with the system will also create an increased risk for dangerous rip currents along area beaches through the weekend. A medium rip current risk is in effect for the Florida Panhandle from Destin to Port St. Joe, as well as along the state’s Atlantic coast from Daytona Beach south to Melbourne and West Palm Beach.
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