In the Round of 32 at the Nordea Open on Wednesday, July 16, Elmer Moeller is set to face Filip Misolic on the clay courts. The matchup features two closely ranked competitors, with Moeller at world No. 102 and Misolic at No. 105.
Despite the narrow gap in their rankings, Misolic enters the contest as the favorite to advance. Betting odds give him a -220 moneyline, which implies a 68.8% probability of winning, while Moeller is the underdog at +170.
An analysis of their performance on clay over the past year supports Misolic’s favored status. He has compiled an impressive 11-3 record across three tournaments on the surface, winning 76.7% of his service games and 34.8% of his return games. Furthermore, he has capitalized on 48.3% of his break point opportunities.
In contrast, Moeller holds a 4-3 record in two clay tournaments during the same period. His statistics include a 67.8% win rate on service games and a 31.7% success rate on return games, while converting 42.4% of his break point chances.
Both players are looking to rebound from early exits at their most recent tournament, Wimbledon. On June 30, Misolic was defeated by Jan-Lennard Struff in the first round, while Moeller fell to Frances Tiafoe in his opening match.
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