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Washington- Estimates of all American news networks indicated the victory of the former president Donald Trump In the New Hampshire state elections, the second state in the Republican primary race. Estimates suggested that he would win 55% of the votes, compared to 45% for his only remaining competitor Nikki Haley.
Trump’s victory has many meanings, the most important of which is that it came after he swept the state of Iowa, which strengthens his strength and control over the party, and the nature of New Hampshire voters, in which the percentage of independent and traditional Republican voters is high, indicates the extent of Trump’s power over the currents and joints of the Republican Party, in addition to a large segment. From the independents.
This paves the way for Trump to become the Republican Party’s de facto presidential nominee next November, early and long before the official end of the primary race next June.
Clear choice
At the same time, Nikki Haley – Trump’s last competitor in the Republican race – pledged to fight, and said after congratulating him that “this race is not over yet.” Trump had previously said to reporters: “I don’t care if Haley stays in the race, let her do what she does.” You want”.
The US President is also expected to win joe biden In the Democratic primary, but due to a procedural battle within the party, those results will not be recognized.
Trump paints for voters participating in the primaries a picture of a country on its way to collapse due to the high numbers of irregular immigrants, high crime rates, and difficult economic conditions.
Regardless of the accuracy of Trump’s claims, this message is attractive to my voters the Republican Party Those who are concerned about the southern border crisis and suffer from rising prices and interest rates believe they would have been better off under his presidency.
Most people who vote for Trump see his trials and prosecutions, which resulted in 91 criminal charges being brought against him, as evidence of “political persecution.”
In an interview with Al Jazeera Net, Candice Toretto, director of the Applied Political Analysis Program at Maryland State University, pointed out that “it is not surprising that Trump advanced, and after the withdrawal of the state governor… Florida Ron DeSantisWith his defeat in Iowa and New Hampshire, Nikki Haley has only a very narrow path to continue in the race, but the defeat of New Hampshire undermines any chances for her.”
‘Disastrous results’
In a statement to Al Jazeera Net, Jeremy Mayer, a specialist in American politics at George Mason University, considered the results of the Republican primary elections to be disastrous, and said, “The candidates have recently withdrawn and only Nikki Haley is left, but all of this came too late.”
Mayer pointed to the “cowardice of Senator Mitch McConnell and other members.” Senate Republicans. Most of them know Trump for what he is, a dangerously stupid, authoritarian narcissist, but they decided not to vote for impeachment after the insurrection of January 6, 2021, because they hoped he would leave,” he said.
“Why risk a civil war within the Republican Party if it would fade away naturally? That was their wish,” he asks.
“There was a moment when the party establishment could have gotten rid of him in the three weeks after January 6,” Mayer added. “But they had to show courage. Instead, they avoided confrontation and looked for an excuse, and that’s why we are here.”
He wondered, denouncing, “Could something emerge that would move the masses of the Republican Party away from Trump? Perhaps if a video emerged of him kicking a dog – or less certainly – a child, this might change the equation, but not the conviction for fraud, the theft of the election, or national security violations.”
Most opinion polls, regarding a hypothetical confrontation between Trump and Biden in several key swing states, indicate Trump’s lead.
Rematch
However, Mayer believes that the chances of Trump winning the general elections do not exceed 40%, unless the economic situation deteriorates and inflation rates rise, “or if there is a foreign policy disaster that is blamed on Biden, or if Biden suffers a health crisis and his running mate Kamala Harris “She is the alternative candidate, Trump’s chances are skyrocketing.”
He said, “Democrats may regret holding on to an older, unpopular candidate, because they have not been able to find a way to replace him. He was a good president in terms of numbers, and he has an impressive set of domestic and foreign policy accomplishments during his 3 years in office, but he suffers from a clear charisma deficit.” And honest and serious questions about his age.”
For his part, writer, political analyst, and Republican Party member Peter Rove acknowledged that Trump’s lead means “we will likely face a rematch.” Between him and President Biden “Very few Americans want it.”
Rove said, in an interview with Al Jazeera Net, that the size and magnitude of Trump’s victory was not surprising in light of his special relationship with Republican voters.
