Occupied Jerusalem – With the entry of the Israeli war on Gaza strip Its seventh week, the Prime Minister is running Benjamin Netanyahu Hidden conflicts regarding his political future, amid the continued decline of his popularity and the collapse of the electoral power of the Likud Party that he leads, and the continued closing of the circle around him, and the strengthening of the evidence that accuses him of failure and failure to prevent a battle.”Al-Aqsa flood“.
In another battle that reflects the features of the internal conflicts that Netanyahu is waging, recent opinion polls confirm the continued growth in popularity of the head of the “National Camp.” Benny GantzThe increasing electoral strength of the opposition parties, as indicated by opinion polls, indicates the formation of the next government if early elections are held for the Knesset.
According to the results of the poll, the gap between the opposition parties and the coalition has widened since the start of the war on Gaza, as the opposition parties with the “National Camp” obtained 78 seats, while the parties of the Netanyahu government coalition – which has 64 seats – obtained 42 seats.
Contrary to what was prevalent before the war on Gaza, when Netanyahu was called the “King of Israel” and enjoyed an overwhelming majority in opinion polls supporting his assumption of the position of prime minister, the new poll showed that only 29% of those who participated in it believe that Netanyahu is most suitable to assume the position.
In the poll, Netanyahu competes with Gantz by winning the support of 50% of those who participated in the poll, as they said that he is most suitable to assume the position of prime minister, while 21% said that they do not know who is most suitable for this position.
Challenges and conflicts
In addition to the challenges that Netanyahu faces in managing the war on Gaza, unlike others, he has a conflict of interests related to the conduct of the war and its goals, whether undermining Hamas’ rule or liberating Israeli detainees, his political future, remaining in the prime minister’s chair, and canceling his trial in corruption files, where it goes. Most analyzes inside Israel indicate that Netanyahu is biased towards the prime minister’s seat.
It seems that the new conflict that Netanyahu will engage in will be in the issue of failure and intelligence failure to prevent the “Al-Aqsa Flood” from occurring. The newspaper “Haaretz” learned that one of the senior members of Likud He is trying to collect materials that would cast a negative light on the head of the Military Intelligence Division (Aman), Aharon Halifa.
Netanyahu’s internal conflicts do not stop with the leaders of military intelligence. Rather, the Chief of Staff of the Army, Herzi Halevy, and the head of the Military Intelligence Service. Shin Bet Ronen Bar is also on target.
Responsibility and disclaimer
Commenting on this, journalist Gadi Weitz believes that Netanyahu intends to do to the heads of the security and military services what he did to the investigators and prosecutors in the corruption files in which he is being tried, as he questioned their professions and abilities, and held them responsible for bringing him to trial for political motives, but in the events of the “Al-Aqsa Flood” he will face… Difficulty in holding military and security leaders responsible for failure and failure.
Weitz, who holds the position of head of the investigations and investigative reports department at the newspaper “Haaretz”, revealed in his report that Netanyahu and a team of his close associates, in an effort to evade responsibility for failing to prevent the events of “Black Saturday” on the seventh of last October, began to collect… Materials and documents that would shed a negative light on the leaders of the military and security services, hold them responsible for failure and failure, and ensure that Netanyahu is absolved.
The Israeli journalist explained that Netanyahu, unlike his predecessors, continues to try to find a way to evade responsibility and escape any accusations that may be brought against him in the future by the investigation committee, through the forced storage of secret security and military documents.
Security and criminal
In an indication of Netanyahu’s approach to evading responsibility and shifting it to other security and military bodies, Weitz pointed out that a few days ago, Prime Minister Netanyahu’s office was forced to return the minutes of secret meetings of the Ministerial Council for Political and Security Affairs (the Cabinet), which were sent to him in violation of procedures.
Weitz quoted a senior Israeli jurist as saying, “What we see from Netanyahu is a continuation of his corruption among many issues. This time it is public corruption in cases related to state security and not criminal criminal corruption in civil cases, but the engine that activated him in both incidents is the same.” : Maintaining power and entrenching himself in the position of prime minister.”
But this time, Weitz says, “The prime minister and his followers face a more difficult battle than the one they fought against investigators and prosecutors. The heads of the security services, despite the events of last October, still enjoy sympathy from the Israeli public, and even within Likud there are large segments that have no longer “It tolerates the era of Netanyahu, and opposes attacks on the security forces, especially during wartime.”
Corruption and failure
Amid this hidden movement of Netanyahu and those close to him, his criticism of the leaders of the security and military services, and his evasive approach to the war on Gaza, the strategic and security affairs analyst at the Walla website, Amir Oren, does not rule out that the war on Gaza last October will continue until November 2024. If Netanyahu is not impeached and overthrown.
Oren pointed out that Netanyahu is comfortable with the continuation of the security nightmare, as he may exploit the prolongation of the war on Gaza and the battles at this pace to remain in the prime minister’s chair, and in order to be a lifeline for him from the corruption files that are haunting him, and also to evade responsibility for the failure and intelligence failure in the events of October 7/ Last October.
The same analyst explained that as the war continues, Netanyahu’s testimony in his trial in corruption cases will be delayed, and in a permanent state of emergency, the Israeli president will grant him Isaac Herzog Excuse me, or it begins withThe Knesset A law to grant amnesty to Netanyahu.
Also, the American President joe biden He will have, according to the strategic and security affairs analyst, to deal with the war in Ukraine and the presidential elections, while Netanyahu will continue to search for groups of soldiers in the Israeli army to take forced photos, but without cartridges.
Netanyahu and Likud
In light of the continued decline in the popularity of Netanyahu and the Likud Party, Israeli writer Moshe Nestelbaum estimated that the former Mossad chief dreams of being prime minister, and may exploit the war to compete in Likud and restore his popularity among the Israeli public. In return, Netanyahu seeks to thwart Cohen’s efforts, which poses a real danger to him. .
In an article in the Maariv newspaper, Nestelbaum explained that Netanyahu does not like political heirs, pointing out that the Likud ministers who dared to dream out loud of the position of prime minister quickly realized the mistake they had committed.
The Israeli writer pointed out that the dream of the position of prime minister became a grim reality for Ministers Israel Katz, Nir Barkat and Avi Dichter, who quickly internalized the phrase “the haste is from the devil” and put their dreams on the shelf for fear of Netanyahu.
Nestelbaum pointed out that Netanyahu does not trust those around him and always has doubts about those close to him. Loyalty in politics is not the name of the game for Netanyahu, and it is clear to him that those within the Likud Party who consider themselves his successors are running out of patience.
The Israeli writer concludes that “the hidden conflicts within the Likud Party and the continued decline in its popularity among Israeli voters require bringing in a figure from outside the party to lead and rehabilitate it, and perhaps Cohen is this person.”