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Tuesday’s Top MLB, WNBA Bets: Model Backs Nationals, Mariners

souhaib by souhaib
August 19, 2025
in Trending
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Tuesday’s Top MLB, WNBA Bets: Model Backs Nationals, Mariners


With the postseason fast approaching, the New York Mets are fighting to maintain their playoff position amid mounting pressure from competitors. Despite a recent series win against the Seattle Mariners, the Mets have lost 10 of their last 13 games. On Tuesday, they face the Washington Nationals in a National League East showdown at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Mets are listed as -208 money line favorites, with the over/under for total runs set at 9.

Meanwhile, the WNBA features a five-game slate, highlighted by a marquee matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and the New York Liberty at 7 p.m. ET. The Liberty are favored by three points.

Here is an analysis of top betting opportunities across both leagues for Tuesday’s action.

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MLB Betting Preview

Washington Nationals (+1.5) vs. New York Mets

The Mets’ recent performance has been concerning, with the team dropping 14 of its last 18 contests, including six consecutive losses on the road. While the Nationals have also faced challenges, they have won four of their last six home games against New York.

Mets starting pitcher David Peterson (7-5, 3.30 ERA) has struggled in August, allowing 12 earned runs and nine walks over just 15.1 innings. Given these factors, statistical models project Washington to cover the +1.5 run line in nearly 60% of simulations.

Seattle Mariners (+153) Money Line vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Following a 12-7 loss to the Phillies on Monday, Seattle is in a prime position to rebound. Mariners starter Logan Gilbert has been reliable, conceding three or fewer earned runs in five of his last seven starts. This strong pitching gives Seattle a significant chance to secure an upset victory. Advanced models project the Mariners to win in 50% of simulations, presenting notable value compared to the 41.2% implied probability from the consensus odds.

Oakland Athletics (+118) Money Line vs. Minnesota Twins

This matchup is projected to be extremely close, with models forecasting a narrow 4.3 to 4.2 victory for Minnesota. This near-even projection indicates value in backing the underdog Athletics, who have won five of their last eight games.

Player Prop: Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Rodriguez possesses significant power, with 24 home runs this season, making it possible for him to cover this prop with a single swing. He has also been consistent at the plate, recording at least two hits in four of his last six games, including a 2-for-4 performance Monday against Philadelphia. Projections suggest Rodriguez will finish with 2.0 total bases, making this a worthwhile wager.

WNBA Betting Preview

Chicago Sky (+11.5) vs. Seattle Storm

Both teams enter this contest on losing streaks. The Sky have lost 12 of their last 13 games, while the Storm have dropped seven of their last eight. However, Chicago is expected to keep the game competitive.

“With Angel Reese questionable to return for Chicago, the Sky may be playing their first game in weeks with both of their two leading scorers in Reese and Ariel Atkins,” noted SportsLine expert Calvin Wetzel. “That shouldn’t be enough to pull an upset, but there’s enough of a chance that it keeps them within single digits to be worth betting.”

Minnesota Lynx (+2.5) vs. New York Liberty

In what promises to be a compelling game, the underdog Lynx aim for a season sweep against the Liberty. Minnesota has won every matchup between the two teams this year and has thrived when not favored by the oddsmakers.

“Minnesota has only been underdogs twice so far in 2025, but they’ve won outright both times, including once against these Liberty,” Wetzel explained. “They were also 13-6 against the spread as underdogs last year, so Cheryl Reeve knows how to motivate her squad when the markets don’t believe in them.”



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