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Analysts and experts stressed the importance of a temporary truce to stop the war on Gaza strip Especially the humanitarian aspect and the setback of the project to displace Gazans, amid doubts about the possibility of extending it in light of the complexity of the scene and the crisis of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin. Netanyahu.
The academic and researcher in political science, Dr. Ibrahim Rabayea, said – during his speech on the program “Gaza… What Next” – that the temporary truce represents an Israeli setback to the project of displacing the population of Gaza due to the opposing regional and international pressure, in addition to the absence of any operational achievement on the ground that gives the occupation army an impetus to go. In the scheme away.
He stressed the importance of the truce to the international actors because they faced internal pressures that reduced their room for maneuver, as it constituted a rescue for Washington and its Western allies, as well as the Israeli government. He pointed out that the atmosphere was not prepared for a political solution, due to the complex political reality.
Regarding the most prominent gains of the Islamic Resistance Movement “Hamas” from the truce, Rabaya says that it broke the discourse linking it to terrorism and eliminated it, as well as installing a prisoner-for-prisoner base after Israel had previously adopted a policy of easing the siege, in addition to the humanitarian aspect related to empowering the steadfastness of the Palestinians, which is what makes Hamas The one with the upper hand.
Rabaya believes that extending the truce is linked to two factors: the first on the ground, especially in the event of breakthroughs, which could lead to its collapse, in addition to the impact of internal pressure in Israel, as the latter believes that it has offered a price through which it can extend the war in order to obtain an “image of victory.”
Pointing out that there is controversy in Israel Regarding the release of second category Palestinian prisoners – referring to prisoners with long and life sentences – in addition to women and children, which may further complicate matters regarding the future of the war.
Rabaya stressed that the humanitarian aspect is important, but he believed that the temporary truce would not be sufficient due to the scale of the disaster and the enormous needs at the level of the medical sector, civil defense, and urgent aid.
To heal wounds
In turn, writer and political analyst Wissam Afifa stressed the importance of the humanitarian dimension in the deal consisting of a ceasefire and a prisoner exchange after 48 days of genocide, war crimes, siege and starvation.
Afifa stressed that the truce represents a rest for a warrior, a breather, a healing of wounds, and a response to calls after civilians were the most affected by the unprecedented Israeli war on Gaza.
He touched on the issue of women and children imprisoned by Israel after the spotlight was on female prisoners detained in Gaza, and pointed out that Israel has Palestinian children in its prisons, and also killed thousands of children in the war, in addition to those missing under the rubble.
Afifa believes that the truce agreement is sufficient at a minimum, even though Hamas views it with suspicion and suspicion, which, according to him, explains its insistence on the behavior of the occupation’s intelligence, especially reconnaissance aircraft, and the possibility of contact with Israeli forces on the ground, which could lead to violations.
He pointed out the occupation’s need for an “image of victory,” which may push it to exploit any opportunity to catch a “precious catch,” referring to assassinations that it may carry out against prominent resistance leaders, especially since the Netanyahu crisis is still ongoing and his partners are convinced that he has involved them in a war that was launched without vision. .
A breakthrough and fears
As for William Lawrence – professor of international relations and former US State Department official – he stressed the importance of the truce, especially since it represents a humanitarian breakthrough, and stressed the necessity of opening various… Gaza crossings As soon as possible, not just the Rafah crossing.
However, Lawrence believes that there is a lack of clarity in some of the terms of the truce, and the extent to which it can be respected by the various parties, and he expressed his doubts about the possibility of extending it in light of the difficult negotiations that preceded its announcement and the presence of prisoners held by parties other than Hamas.
He pointed out that Netanyahu’s career has come to an end, and added that he was in a bad situation before the war and now most Israelis blame him after the Hamas attack, especially since his government was divided and politically weak.
