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Al Jazeera Net correspondents
Khartoum- It sparked military movements For the Rapid Support Forces in Darfur Its control over some cities in the region raises questions about explaining the major shift in the theater of war Khartoum The battles intensify in the region located in western Sudan, which is the main stronghold of these forces.
During the past two weeks, the process of military deployment and operational activity of the Rapid Support Forces in the Darfur states accelerated, with the control of the 15th Infantry Division in the city of El Geneina, the capital of West Darfur State.
Before that, it had taken control of the 16th Division in Nyala in the state of South Darfur and the 21st Division in Zalingei, and operations continued by taking control of the 24th Brigade, Um Kadada, located 86 kilometers east of the city of El Fasher, the capital of North Darfur.
Observers who spoke to Al Jazeera Net had varying estimates regarding the dimensions of the military movements of the Rapid Support Forces in Darfur.
The reality of separation
One part of the observers considered that these movements carried indications of the possibility of the emergence of a new reality of secession in Sudan, while another part spoke of the hypothesis that the field development in the region was linked to internal circumstances of these forces related to the course of negotiations in the future or to overcome the problem of not achieving a decisive and final victory in Khartoum.
Some interpretations suggested that the goal was military in the context of improving the field situation after the continued cohesion of the army forces in Khartoum and the collapse of the argument that the support was besieging its leaders within the walls of the General Command, which events exceeded with the departure of the army commander and the head of the army. council of state Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan From Khartoum to the city of Port Sudan, he was followed by his deputy, Lieutenant General Shams al-Din Kabashi.
The military expert, former officer in the Presidential Guard, Shihab El-Din Othman, attributes the support forces’ transfer of their movements to Darfur to their goal of arresting the leaders of the armed forces, “which was not achieved, so they headed to seize vital strategic facilities and citizens’ homes while failing to control the army headquarters in Khartoum,” he said. .
The same military expert added to Al Jazeera Net that with the Rapid Support receiving painful blows on its solid force and the death of most of its leaders, the force was broken, disagreements spread within it, and it became without leadership or vision, so its choice was to open battle fronts in other states.
trap
According to military sources, the direction of the Rapid Support Forces westward and their need to defend cities and towns may affect the advantage of these forces, which rely on agility and not clinging to the ground.
Military expert and former Sudanese army officer Al-Nazir Dafallah Siddiq says, “What makes these forces so bold is that the positions are not sacred to them. They continue to attack and move with complete freedom, but they may find themselves in Darfur, in the trap of clinging to the positions, which makes them lose their flexibility in movement and high maneuvering.” He noted that the war of fixed positions differs from the war of the streets.
The shift in the direction of the winds in the military field, which coincided with the holding of negotiations between the army and the Rapid Support in… grandmother In Saudi Arabia, the possibility of pressure towards a return to negotiation.
Al-Nazir Dafallah believes that this is possible, but to a lesser extent in the order of hypotheses, categorically ruling out the possibility of the situation evolving from a negotiating tactic to the principle of establishing the establishment of an authority in the Darfur region.
The military expert described the matter as difficult due to the nature of the “aggressive behavior of the Rapid Support Forces, represented by killing, looting and displacement towards the local components of Darfur, which will not give it the opportunity to enjoy the formation of a powerful government,” expecting a coalescence of all the tribes of Darfur, even the Arab ones, to fight these forces.
External influences
The coincidence of the trend of fighting in Darfur with the start of negotiations, which ended without result, opened the door to interpretations of the presence of external influences to heat the earth at a time when a truce was supposed to be declared.
Military expert Amin Al-Zaki believes that moving Rapid Support to its operations westward at this escalating pace aims to obstruct the Jeddah Agreement and disperse the efforts of the armed forces, in addition to suggesting that Rapid Support controls large areas, suggesting that external parties – which he did not specify – support or stand behind this development. .
The Rapid Support contents itself with issuing military statements about its movements in Darfur, publishing a salary report about its movements between the cities of the region without explanation, and specifying the names of the divisions and garrisons that it says it controlled.
A Rapid Support commander (who preferred to withhold his name) told Al Jazeera Net that the military activities of his forces in Darfur are normal and that they are a continuation of what he called the Khartoum Operation. He added that they are fighting a war in which they have nothing to do except with the estimates of the military leadership, which sets goals according to a comprehensive vision of the course of the war and the conditions of the field.
