Labor suffers its worst polling for 100 years as voters desert the NSW party in droves
- Poll published in The Sydney Morning Herald commissioned by trade unions
- Labor’s vote on just 23.9 per cent – a drop of 8.4 percentage points since 2019
- Liberal party’s primary vote increased to 36.5 per cent since the last election
NSW Labor Leader Jodi McKay is under pressure after internal party polling revealed voters have abandoned the state opposition in droves.
The poll published by The Sydney Morning Herald on Monday was conducted by ALP pollster Redbridge for the Australian Workers’ Union and the Health Services Union.
It predicts that if an election was held now Labor’s primary vote would be just 23.9 per cent – an 8.4 per cent drop since the March 2019 state election.
That primary vote would be even worse than the 25.5 per cent of March 2011, when the last Labor premier Kristina Keneally led the party to its worst-ever defeat leaving it with just 20 seats.
NSW Labor Leader Jodi McKay is under pressure after internal party polling revealed voters have abandoned the state opposition in droves
The Liberal party’s primary vote increased to 36.5 per cent – up from 32 per cent at the 2019 poll, while 18.9 per cent of voters said they were undecided.
Taking into consideration a redistribution of seats, the swing of nine per cent would see Labor lose 12 seats – including Ms McKay’s seat of Strathfield in the 93-seat lower house.
The poll of 1,982 people was conducted across the state over the past three weeks.
It comes after a stunning Labor victory in Western Australia at the weekend which saw the McGowan government returned with an even bigger majority.
It’s won at least 52 of the lower house’s 59 seats, confining the Liberal and National parties to rump status.
The Liberal party’s primary vote increased to 36.5 per cent – up from 32 per cent at the 2019 poll, while 18.9 per cent of voters said they were undecided. Pictured is NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian
Opposition parties across the country are struggling to break through as voters endorse the status quo during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Berejiklian government’s handling of the pandemic was also polled, with 72.9 per cent of people either satisfied or very satisfied.
Some 40.6 per cent of respondents credited Premier Gladys Berejiklian with the success.
The next NSW election is in March 2023.
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