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Before our eyes, we are seeing how the situation in Ukraine is rapidly heading towards a war, in which NATO and Russia could get involved.
The United States of America does not have a long time before China becomes the largest economy in the world, and the yuan becomes the commercial and reserve currency in the world, which will lead to the collapse of the US dollar, the global debt pyramid, and then the US economy. And against the backdrop of the serious internal crisis, there is no longer any certainty that the United States of America will continue in its present form 10 years from now.
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While the US Democratic Party was trying to topple Trump by using his fierce campaign against Russia, it demonized it and shattered relations with it to the point that the Russian-Chinese alliance became a natural and inevitable thing.
However, the United States of America cannot bear a conflict with Russia and China at the same time, so it is logical first to neutralize the weaker economically – Russia.
Until the next congressional elections, which are likely to be linked to the exacerbation of internal political conflict, with the possibility of sliding into civil war, the internal situation in the United States of America gives President Biden a period of only about two years.
During these two years, the United States of America should have sufficient time to neutralize Russia, then to devote itself to neutralizing China for about 4 more years.
Against this background, it becomes understandable why the West has advanced the Navalny project as soon as possible, now instead of August and September, which seems more feasible on the eve of the Russian Parliament elections.
In addition to the West’s attempts to destabilize Russia’s internal situation with the help of Western-funded agents, and to fabricate protests through Facebook, YouTube and Twitter, the second focus of Washington’s efforts is to provoke disputes on Russia’s borders.
The first attempt was an attempt to organize a colorful revolution in one of Russia’s allies, Belarus, which has not yet been crowned with success.
Then was the second attempt in the Azerbaijan-Armenian War, which Putin ably managed to neutralize.
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The United States of America still has two potential winning cards: the attempt to liquidate the Republic of Transnistria with Moldova, which would draw Russia into conflict with Moldova and Ukraine, or Ukraine’s attempt to liquidate the republics of Donetsk and Lugansk.
The second option appears to be not only the most likely, but is also moving towards fast implementation.
In recent months, Ukraine has been living in conditions of severe economic and political crisis. The country has no money, and the government is forced to drastically raise gas prices and utility bills for the population. Also, the West does not grant new loans, as Kiev refuses to fight corruption, which is what the International Monetary Fund insists on.
Naturally, this is leading to a rapid decline in the popularity of President Zelensky and his ruling party.
According to the latest opinion polls, the first place in the classification of Ukrainian parties is occupied by the “opposition platform – for life”, which tends to normalize relations with Russia by 20.7%, and the second place is occupied by the pro-Western European Solidarity Party led by former President Poroshenko with 15.3% The “Patkevshina” party, led by pragmatism, occupies third place, Yulia Tymoshenko, with 12.6%, and the ruling “Servant of the People” party occupies fourth place with 11.2%.
The situation is heading towards the fact that the political forces calling for normalization of relations with Russia may come to power, and the USA may lose control of Ukraine. Or Ukraine will be paralyzed by the ongoing conflict between parties of equal strength, but unable to agree, which will ultimately lead to the disintegration of this artificial country into two parts, one of which tends towards Europe and the other towards Russia, which also conflicts with the interests of the United States of America and Europe. .
Thus, in Ukraine, the United States of America and the current system in Kiev are bound by a specific time, until the next elections, also within two years.
Against this background, former comedian and current Ukrainian president, Vladimir Zelensky, is doing his best, with the support of the USA, to usurp power.
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First, Zelenskyy last October tried to dissolve the country’s Constitutional Court, which the chief justice described as an attempted coup. In any case, the Constitutional Court is now paralyzed, and its president cannot reach his workplace.
Second, Zelensky, under pressure from the United States of America, froze the assets and practically confiscated the Ukrainian company “Motor Sech” of Chinese companies, which is the largest manufacturer of helicopters and aircraft engines in the country. In response, China (Ukraine’s second trading partner, and its first partner excluding gas) announced the termination of its deals to purchase minerals, grains, soybeans and other major products for Ukrainian export.
Another strong blow to Ukraine, which is already going through one of the most severe and growing economic crises, will lead to a further reduction in the standard of living and an increase in the mood of protest in Ukraine.
On February 2, President Zelensky closed three opposition television channels, in violation of the provisions of the law, which was fully blessed by Washington. In addition, battalions of neo-Nazis (some of which are sponsored by the current Minister of the Interior of Ukraine, the oligarch, Arsen Avakov) attacked the opposition TV Channel 4 “Nash”. Throughout the country, harassment and persecution of independent journalists and dissidents began.
At the same time, the Ukrainian government has submitted to parliament a bill on “state policy for the transitional period in Donbas,” which Russia described as a Ukrainian withdrawal from the Minsk Agreement, which halted the civil war in Ukraine in 2014 and is the basis for the armistice.
Against this background, President Zelensky began to test the “readiness of troops to perform” on the borders with the unrecognized republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. Meanwhile, it was announced that Ukrainian forces had been stationed there, and artillery bombardments by Ukrainian forces had intensified in Donetsk and Lugansk.
In short, it appears that Washington and its puppet regime in Kiev, in the face of the threat of the fall of this regime, are preparing to take the cold conflict in the Donbas to a hot phase.
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Russia has repeatedly stated that it will not allow the genocide of Russian-speaking citizens in the Donbas. Also, given that a large part of the population of Donetsk and Lugansk hold Russian citizenship, so Russia’s participation in the conflict in the event of Ukrainian aggression seems inevitable.
It is difficult to determine how far the American plans can go, and whether they will lead to the direct participation of the American forces and NATO, but in my opinion, we should not forget that the main strategic goal of the United States of America in this conflict is the complete neutralization of Russia, and its removal from the alliance with China. To achieve this goal, the conflict and its consequences must be as widespread as possible.
And given the presence of nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia, any direct military conflict between the two parties may lead to at least the local use of nuclear weapons, as announced recently by the commander of the US Strategic Command, Charles Richard. The Russian President, Vladimir Putin, also warned of him in his recent speech at the Davos Forum.
In short, the situation is dangerous, and escalating rapidly.
Political analyst / Alexander Nazarov
The article expresses only the opinion of the newspaper or writer
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