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(Trends Wide) — What a night! The midterm elections in the United States are over, although the vote count continues in many places with several races still to be determined, and the results, so far, have not been what most political analysts expected, with surprises between the winners and losers.
The Democrats, who expected to suffer considerable losses in the House of Representatives, appear to have held on, but it still seems likely that they will end up in the minority.
The Senate hangs in the balance as Democrats have won just one seat — in Pennsylvania — and all eyes are on Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Wisconsin, states where the count remains too close to identify a winner.
Here are some of the biggest winners and losers from the midterm elections so far. As more results become known, it will be updated with who has had good electoral days and who will leave disappointed.
WINNERS
Ron DeSantis: On a generally disappointing night for Republicans, Florida Governor he had one of the most brilliant performances for the match. He absolutely crushed former Democratic Governor Charlie Crist to win a second term. The victory — and the margin by which he won — could well serve as a springboard for DeSantis’ presidential hopes, allowing him to use the argument that he will be able to do nationally what he just did in Florida. DeSantis jumped to sweeping conclusions after his victory, calling it a “win for the history books” and touting Florida as the state “where woke culture is going to die.” DeSantis is clearly, after this result, a politician with momentum and now the GOP is waiting to see what he does next.
Josh Shapiro: looking for who might be the next rock star of the Democratic Party, one might well stop at Shapiro, who handily won Pennsylvania’s gubernatorial race on Tuesday. Shapiro is eloquent, brilliant and has a clearly demonstrated appeal to voters in a swing state. Shapiro’s victory is also a victory for electoral security. Pennsylvania’s governor will name the state’s election chief, and Shapiro’s opponent — Republican Doug Mastriano — was a denier of the 2020 election, in which Biden beat Trump.
Marjorie Taylor Greene: If the Republicans had swept the election, as so many had predicted in previous weeks, the party would be well on its way to securing a solid majority in Congress. But that is not what seems to be happening nationally in the United States. The most likely outcome — and there are still many key elections whose outcome is unclear — appears to be a narrow Republican majority. That would be great news for Greene and his fellow House Freedom Caucus members. Since that group represents a strong voting bloc, Greene and his ilk could maintain their support of Republican leaders to extract concessions and gain influence. In that scenario, the Republican who becomes House Speaker — with Kevin McCarthy being the favorite — would have to make sure he’s okay with the Freedom Caucus before any big vote.
Simon Rosenberg: veteran Democratic Strategist, Rosenberg He told anyone who would listen that the apparent shift of the electorate toward the Republicans in recent weeks was misleading, fueled by a series of Republican-sponsored polls that moved voting intention averages in a direction more favorable to the GOP. . He was right.
LOSERS
Donald Trump: it’s hard to imagine things getting any worse for the former president after Tuesday’s election. The Republicans did not sweep the country and the rise of DeSantis was one of the great milestones of election day. (Not to mention the fact that Georgia Governor Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, two Republicans who have drawn Trump’s ire, won their respective re-elections.) And you can tell Trump is getting on his nerves with DeSantis, trying to warn him about a possible involvement in the 2024 presidential race. I don’t think anything including Tuesday night’s results is going to change Trump’s 2024 trajectory. But for all his bluster (and there will be plenty), it’s clear that Tuesday was not the night Trump expected.
Beto O’Rourke: O’Rourke fell short in his bid to challenge Texas Gov. Greg Abbott on Tuesday night, meaning he has now lost three straight races: 1) The 2018 Senate race against Ted Cruz; 2) the 2020 Democratic presidential primary; 3) the 2022 gubernatorial race. In politics, like baseball, it’s usually three strikes and you’re out. It’s hard to see O’Rourke credibly running for another office any time soon, a notable blow for someone who was considered a rising Democratic star just a few years ago.
Stacey Abrams: Speaking of fading stars, the Georgia Democrat lost the gubernatorial race convincingly, failing to replicate the coalition that brought her close to victory four years ago. Abrams, who emerged from that first race as a rising star among Democrats nationally, now looks far less impressive. And with two losses in her most recent two careers, it’s hard to see where her return to politics begins.
Kevin McCarthy: yeah, it’s a little weird to single out the man who could be in line to be the next speaker of the House as the loser. But consider the predicament McCarthy would face if the Republicans win control of the House of Representatives and he is elected to lead the party: a potentially narrow majority controlled—or at least heavily influenced—by the more conservative and extremist elements of his party. match. (Those forces would hold significant influence over every vote McCarthy attempted to cast. Getting anything done—let alone doing the things the House Freedom Caucus could push, like impeaching President Joe Biden—would be a tall order.
The Republican presence in the Senate: In the final stretch of the campaign, some Senate Republican strategists suggested that they could seriously compete in three states – New Hampshire, Colorado and Washington – and that in that way they would be closer to winning the majority. But none of the three electoral contests turned out to be as close as they had hoped, and Democrats not only won in those states, but held a double-digit lead as of Wednesday morning.
Election Deniers: Several high-profile 2020 election deniers running for governor across the country lost out. In Michigan, Tudor Dixon fell short. In Wisconsin, Tim Michels lost. Mastriano lost in Pennsylvania. Also Dan Cox in Maryland. And Darren Bailey in Illinois. Although Trends Wide did not close the result of the Arizona governor’s race, Republican Kari Lake is also trailing.
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