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The median of Mexico Bond The 10-year term was 7.55%, 47 basis points more than the projection for the third quarter (7.08%), which reflects the rise in the leading rates registered by the Bank of MexicoHowever, it is observed that it is still attractive compared to the median of the US bond, according to estimates from the ANATEC-AMIB survey for the end of 2021.
Changes are being observed in monetary policies in the world to curb the levels of inflation that are occurring as a result of the rise in the prices of raw materials, commodities and transportation costs.
Additionally, specialists report an increase in risk aversion levels as a result of the uncertainty about Ómicron’s impact on the global economy, which drives the preference for instruments less volatile.
Lucero García, Citibanamex
Many detractors of technical analysis assure that this is not a reliable tool to analyze the markets, however, this assertion is far from reality, since technical analysis is an investment method that seeks to describe the behavior of prices in a structural way in the market, and from that, we can try to define with greater probability what will happen in the future (immediate or mediate) and at the same time we can establish the criteria that confirm or rule out the hypothetical future that has been proposed.
Therefore, if our hypothesis is validated, we will take a position (buy, sell or neutral) and when necessary we will reformulate our hypothesis based on the new available variables. However, like any reliable method, these adjustments will be made under the following basic requirements: 1) Discipline to follow the method or operating system itself. 2) Knowledge to fully understand the analysis tools. 3) Reflection to interpret each technical signal within the proper context. 4) An evaluation system that alerts when something is going wrong with the system.
Alfredo Huerta, Advalue
Among the technical analysis tools that I use the most are the crossovers of moving averages, from every half hour of operation to the analysis with weekly information and it applies to all of them, although the number of observations are different for each investment term.
In a context where volatility and uncertainty prevail like these last weeks linked to Ómicron, especially in the analysis of every half hour using simple or exponential moving averages of 100 and 200 observations.
Decisions are made based on crossing these averages. If the lower moving average (in this case the one of 100 observations) exceeds the higher average (of 200 observations) to the upside, it means a “buy” signal, while if the lower moving average (in this case the one of 100 observations) penetrates down to the highest average (of 200 observations), it means a “sell” signal.
It is interesting for people who like technical analysis, but who, due to their profession, cannot spend all day watching the development of the trading day on the screen. It is applied for indices, companies, currencies, commodities, cryptoactives and highly liquid bonds such as US Treasuries.
patricia.ortega@eleconomista.mx
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