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Close to the legislative area, but closer to the Palacio de Covián. To avoid messy, Mario Delgado summoned the members of the National Elections Commission of Morena and the candidates for the candidacies that the majority party and its allies will nominate in the six entities that will renew their powers next year.
On the eve, Adam Augusto López Hernández he had received the necessary information to appease — if necessary — any rebellion. And yesterday, in batches, the applicants paraded, who would officially know the result of the “recognition survey.” The official, raised by the Commission of Inquiry, and the three measurements commissioned to demoscopic companies hired by the directive headed by Delgado Carrillo.
Morena wants a complete car in 2022, but the best positioned will not necessarily reach the nomination. And the most competitive could be sacrificed for gender adjustment.
If it were for Delgado, there would be six candidates, but electoral competitiveness will prevail in the definition. Appealing to parity and using the euphemism of “state coordination for the defense of the Fourth Transformation,” Morena’s leadership will try to support unique candidates and stop challenges before the jurisdictional authorities.
The recognition poll, a wavered one? At least 10 million pesos would have had to be spent by Morena to cover the fees of its internal team and of the three polling houses —Buendía & Laredo, Covarrubias y Asociados and Mendoza Blanco— that conducted 1,200 face-to-face interviews in the six entities.
Equality, even in the dissemination of data. In Durango, the best known candidates are the senators José Ramón Enriquez Y Alejandro González Yáñez – practically tied – while the best known was Marina Veal, Mayor of Gómez Palacio.
To differentiate the applicants and define an ideal profile, the morenistas invented an estimator based on five attributes. The highest scores were obtained by Gonzalo (5.25) and Enríquez (4.75). All three polling houses, by contrast, ranked The Doctor first, with an overwhelming advantage.
In addition to the “competitiveness criterion”, the Morenoite leadership will attend to the requests of the organizations that have joined its electoral bloc —PVEM, PT and the teachers’ bases of the defunct Nueva Alianza— to make the decision.
Will anyone have other data? Pointers in the polls resulted: Arturo Avila, in Aguascalientes; Julio Menchaca, in Hidalgo; Solomon Jara, in Oaxaca; Mara Lezama, in Quintana Roo, Americo Villarreal, in Tamaulipas.
Known, but with negative opinions. Do the numbers lie? The leftist coalition should bring Doctor Enríquez as a candidate in Durango, despite the PT’s demand that Gonzalo be the candidate. But the gender adjustment would cause Mayor Vitela to be nominated, without winning the polls. And that Susana Harp compete for the governorship of Oaxaca …
In the six entities where there will be elections in 2022, Morena leads the polls, AMLO is well qualified and none of the candidates would defy superior instructions, no matter how many polls he had won.
Side effects
SIMULATIONS. With a phantom survey, the CEN of the PAN maintained the validity of the political agreement signed among the applicants for the candidacy of Aguascalientes, Tere Jimenez Y Toño Martín del Campo. The designation is the responsibility of the national leader of the blue and white, Marko CortésBut the stupidity of the outgoing governor, Martin Orozco, and the unofficial actions of the deputy Santiago Creel they were on the verge of derailing the process.
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